Günlük Piyasa Özeti

Global risk sentiment steadied as central banks stayed in line with expectations. The BoJ lifted its policy rate to 1.25%, a 31‑year high, while markets price a 74% chance of a Fed hike and 60% for the BoJ by year‑end, slightly lower than mid‑week. A modest pullback in oil has tempered rate‑cut hopes, yet the chain of higher energy and tech prices feeding inflation, tighter policy and higher bond yields remains the key macro risk for the rest of the year. Brent trades near $104, with U.S. futures slightly positive and DAX marginally negative.

In Türkiye, fund‑related measures addressing payment risks supported TL assets: benchmark bond yields fell 56 bps and BIST100 rose 2.9% led by banks. The constructive equity view remains intact, with buying interest seen below 13,000 and 13,500 flagged as a near‑term pivot; supports are 13,100–12,700 and resistances 13,600–14,000. The CBRT bolstered liquidity via larger repo funding, higher interbank limits and lower collateral haircuts, aiding the drop in yields.